Sold too early? Bitcoin investor crying

I found 21 remarkable forecasts in total made for Bitcoin and Ether this year. Bitcoin and most other cryptocurrencies skyrocketed this year, but most experts predict much higher prices. If only part of it comes true, the bulls will gallop for a long time. And if you have them, how to sell them? When to sell?

The maximum amount of all Bitcoins will be 21 million, and I found 21 remarkable forecasts in total made for Bitcoin and Ether in 2021. The Bitcoin (BTC) price took a new orbit on the way to the moon, Ethereum (ETH) broke a new…

Old coins. Inflation was “invented” in the Classical Age.
  • “Ageless Finance” means basic financial knowledge is the same in all centuries, but most people don’t know it.
  • There were always many financial crises, frauds, excessive debt, or inflation.
  • Many people fell victim to them for lack of knowledge.
  • Don’t miss learning what humanity should have known since ancient times!

Scandal in the Roman Empire or How Can Be Finance Ageless?

Ageless doesn’t mean old or obsolete. But let’s begin with basic financial knowledge from the Classical Ages.

The Crisis of the Third Century, also known as Military Anarchy or the Imperial Crisis, was when the Roman Empire nearly collapsed under the combined pressures of invasion, civil war, plague, and economic…

Unbelievable Bitcoin Price Predictions in 2012–2013

One thing that impressed me most about Bitcoin in 2013 was the staggering price forecasts. The price moved around 10–20, later, 30–50 USD only, and predictions of $1000 or $5000 seemed already fantastic. We know how the story evolved so far. It’s sooo funny to read these numbers today, by $58,000 Bitcoin:

“Bitcoin Price Breaks All-Time High of $31.91. Some have predicted $45; others $100, and still others believe that the bubble is only starting. And we may see a meteoric as great in magnitude as the one in 2011-that is, by June 2013, we will hit $1000. Unlikely, perhaps…

  • The rhodium price crashed in March by 32 percent but is recovering already.
  • But the rally of the last months and years stays impressive.
  • The reason for the bull run is a tight supply and a strong demand.
  • The causes of the jump have not yet disappeared and may last longer.
  • But not only rhodium is scarce, but its ETC, too.

How the Rhodium Price Crashed in March

It is interesting to look at the rhodium price again, after a deep backdrop. The futures price fell from 29,190 USD on the top to 24,890 dollars, by 14.7 percent. The only exchange-traded product, the DB Xtrackers Physical Rhodium…

Tokyo, Japan
Tokyo, Japan
  • Is the Japanese stock market the nightmare of long-term investors?
  • No. Investors who avoided the bubble-period reached a decent 3.9 real return p. a.
  • Because of the currency appreciation, the return was higher in dollar terms.
  • Japanese stocks in USD hit even new all-time high already.

Why Seem Japanese Stocks Like a Nightmare?

“The return of stock market investments is better than the return of bonds and exceeds inflation.” You may have heard this statement a thousand times. It is mostly backed up by the American stock market performance that produced excellent returns in the long run, in 50–100 years.

But the Japanese stock market seems more…

  • The crypto-bull is raging, but many investors still stay away.
  • Comfortable cryptocurrency exchange-traded products may be the solution for many new players.
  • But these products are expensive compared with traditional ETFs.
  • Two Factors are undermining the “inflation” hedge and “digital gold” narrative.

The cryptocurrency market is booming again. This time, institutional demand is pushing prices higher. But some investors still have to overcome hurdles to invest. Because:

Two Factors Are Undermining the Inflation Hedge Narrative

So, securitized cryptocurrencies, such as exchange-traded products, may play a major role in the future. Exchange-traded funds (ETFs), notes (ETNs), and certificates may be available to some institutional players and small investors already…

  • Is GameStop short-selling harmful or unusual?
  • Short selling itself is normal, the same as long buying.
  • The “let’s blame the short sellers” game is ancient.
  • Are short-sellers the bad guys? Or long buyers?
  • Only if they are manipulative.

Why Is Short Selling Normal?

Small investors trying to “squeeze” GameStop short-selling institutional investors was the most interesting story of the last week. Is sort selling something weird, sinful, strange? No.

  • “Normal”, long investment is simple. You buy something to sell it later at a higher price. (Whereby dividends may increase your income). People normally buy something that seems to be cheap, undervalued, to sell it…

  • Stock dividends rose slightly and buybacks fell 30 percent in 2020.
  • This year, both may rise again.
  • Means over 1 trillion dollar payout for investors, a yield of 3.1 percent p. a.
  • As interest rates remain low, this may drive stock prices further.
  • Or prevent a deeper fall.

Did Stock Dividends and Buybacks Collapse in the Crisis?

There are two main methods of how companies pay out part of their earnings to investors. Despite the incredible economic crisis in 2020, the dividend payments and share buybacks on the American stock market stayed on high levels. Total dividends rose slightly, and total buybacks fell approximately 30 percent.

Dividend payments are…

  • Many authors fear the total collapse of fiat currencies or the end of the dollar.
  • They forget that central banks can not only print money but retire it from circulation, too.
  • Higher inflation of the dollar and other main currencies is very likely, but a collapse is not.
  • But investing in real assets is also a good choice if you aren’t expecting the end of paper money.
  • (opinion)

Many Fear the End of the Dollar, the Collapse of Fiat Currencies

The US dollar will collapse. Fiat currencies are ending rapidly. “The Biden–Yellen team will fulfill our worst fears of deficit spending, debt explosion and dollar collapse”–wrote, for example, Zerohedge. …

Back to the Roots-Why Do I Need Digital Silver, Litecoin?

Last week I remembered the old, good Litecoin cryptocurrency for a simple but important reason. I wanted to pay for something. Most people use cryptos nowadays as a speculation asset only. Very few are paying with cryptos, or making other transactions, transfers.

For me, cryptocurrencies are also payment tools. At least sometimes in a quarter, I used to pay something with Bitcoin (BTC) or Ether (ETH). Mostly digital services, like VoiceIP calls, VPN servers, or software. But these payments with the two leading cryptos got too expensive, as I complained already in July. (Here: Cryptocurrency Fees Are Skyrocketing.)

Crypto-Fees Skyrocketed

The transactions…

Ageless Finance Investing

Finance journalist, blogger, analyst, looking for non-conventional ideas and new perspectives. Engaged in commodities, mining stocks, cryptocurrencies, stocks.

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